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	<title>Comments on: Risk assessment, weasel style</title>
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	<link>http://sweasel.com/archives/4051</link>
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		<title>By: Allen</title>
		<link>http://sweasel.com/archives/4051/comment-page-1#comment-41572</link>
		<dc:creator>Allen</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 13 Jul 2009 20:52:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://sweasel.com/?p=4051#comment-41572</guid>
		<description>Oooo, a post on the probability of flaming destruction, and I&#039;m late to the game!

Yep, the car crash thing falls under the choice with replacement scenario. Every time you get in a car you get to pick from the bag that contains some marbles that say: exploding car crash! That marble gets put back into the bag for your next pick.

I&#039;ve done a lot of studies on hazard scenarios for explody bits and bobs over the years. Now that will give you some nightmares.

Hey did you hear the one about two overhead crane operators having crane races while they were carrying large rocket motor segments? I shit thee not, damndest thing I&#039;ve ever seen in my life.

&quot;If you see me running try to keep up.&quot;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Oooo, a post on the probability of flaming destruction, and I&#8217;m late to the game!</p>
<p>Yep, the car crash thing falls under the choice with replacement scenario. Every time you get in a car you get to pick from the bag that contains some marbles that say: exploding car crash! That marble gets put back into the bag for your next pick.</p>
<p>I&#8217;ve done a lot of studies on hazard scenarios for explody bits and bobs over the years. Now that will give you some nightmares.</p>
<p>Hey did you hear the one about two overhead crane operators having crane races while they were carrying large rocket motor segments? I shit thee not, damndest thing I&#8217;ve ever seen in my life.</p>
<p>&#8220;If you see me running try to keep up.&#8221;</p>
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		<title>By: Christopher Taylor</title>
		<link>http://sweasel.com/archives/4051/comment-page-1#comment-41561</link>
		<dc:creator>Christopher Taylor</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 12 Jul 2009 23:58:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://sweasel.com/?p=4051#comment-41561</guid>
		<description>Al Gore 2003: He played upon our FEEAAAAAAAAARRRSS!!!!

Al Gore 2009: We have to play upon their fears.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Al Gore 2003: He played upon our FEEAAAAAAAAARRRSS!!!!</p>
<p>Al Gore 2009: We have to play upon their fears.</p>
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		<title>By: Dawn</title>
		<link>http://sweasel.com/archives/4051/comment-page-1#comment-41556</link>
		<dc:creator>Dawn</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 12 Jul 2009 17:48:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://sweasel.com/?p=4051#comment-41556</guid>
		<description>Easy now Rick Rostrom. 

{tee hee}</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Easy now Rick Rostrom. </p>
<p>{tee hee}</p>
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	<item>
		<title>By: S. Weasel</title>
		<link>http://sweasel.com/archives/4051/comment-page-1#comment-41553</link>
		<dc:creator>S. Weasel</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 12 Jul 2009 12:52:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://sweasel.com/?p=4051#comment-41553</guid>
		<description>&lt;quietly fixes the spelling and tries to look casual&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&lt;quietly fixes the spelling and tries to look casual&gt;</p>
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		<title>By: Rich Rostrom</title>
		<link>http://sweasel.com/archives/4051/comment-page-1#comment-41552</link>
		<dc:creator>Rich Rostrom</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 12 Jul 2009 06:05:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://sweasel.com/?p=4051#comment-41552</guid>
		<description>It&#039;s Rostr&lt;b&gt;o&lt;/b&gt;m, dammit!

I can spell Sotomayor and Schwarzenegger and Ahmedinejad and Netanyahu and Berlusconi and Yousefzadeh and Volokh and Hinderaker without looking them up.

Rostr&lt;b&gt;o&lt;/b&gt;m is a nice simple name: seven letters, no silent consonants or non-anglophone pronunciations. People should be able to spell it correctly. &lt;i&gt;Even weasels!&lt;/i&gt;
(Especially weasels who have it typed out for them.)

Yes, I am ranting. This is my sore toe: the one thing I will &lt;i&gt;always&lt;/i&gt; complain about when someone steps on it.

Aaahhhrrrggghhh!!

(I note again that Al-goracle&#039;s first quoted paragraph was complete gibberish. What&#039;s up with that anyway?)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It&#8217;s Rostr<b>o</b>m, dammit!</p>
<p>I can spell Sotomayor and Schwarzenegger and Ahmedinejad and Netanyahu and Berlusconi and Yousefzadeh and Volokh and Hinderaker without looking them up.</p>
<p>Rostr<b>o</b>m is a nice simple name: seven letters, no silent consonants or non-anglophone pronunciations. People should be able to spell it correctly. <i>Even weasels!</i><br />
(Especially weasels who have it typed out for them.)</p>
<p>Yes, I am ranting. This is my sore toe: the one thing I will <i>always</i> complain about when someone steps on it.</p>
<p>Aaahhhrrrggghhh!!</p>
<p>(I note again that Al-goracle&#8217;s first quoted paragraph was complete gibberish. What&#8217;s up with that anyway?)</p>
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		<title>By: Former Lurker</title>
		<link>http://sweasel.com/archives/4051/comment-page-1#comment-41533</link>
		<dc:creator>Former Lurker</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 11 Jul 2009 13:55:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://sweasel.com/?p=4051#comment-41533</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;Makes a mental note not to sit next to F’Lurker on the bus. He doesn’t sound…lucky&lt;/i&gt;


Ooops. I forgot buses. Now &lt;i&gt; those&lt;/i&gt; scare me!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><i>Makes a mental note not to sit next to F’Lurker on the bus. He doesn’t sound…lucky</i></p>
<p>Ooops. I forgot buses. Now <i> those</i> scare me!</p>
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	<item>
		<title>By: S. Weasel</title>
		<link>http://sweasel.com/archives/4051/comment-page-1#comment-41518</link>
		<dc:creator>S. Weasel</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 11 Jul 2009 01:22:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://sweasel.com/?p=4051#comment-41518</guid>
		<description>Not me. &lt;i&gt;...a coward dies a thousand times...&lt;/i&gt;

I reckon I&#039;ve died a jillion or so times already. I contend it has to do with a vivid imagination, but I&#039;d make a crap soldier...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Not me. <i>&#8230;a coward dies a thousand times&#8230;</i></p>
<p>I reckon I&#8217;ve died a jillion or so times already. I contend it has to do with a vivid imagination, but I&#8217;d make a crap soldier&#8230;</p>
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		<title>By: jwpaine</title>
		<link>http://sweasel.com/archives/4051/comment-page-1#comment-41517</link>
		<dc:creator>jwpaine</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 11 Jul 2009 01:06:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://sweasel.com/?p=4051#comment-41517</guid>
		<description>Oops, somebody forgot to turn the italics off.

In any case, there is one exception to that: An individual&#039;s death generally reduces greatly the chance of a second death occurring to that same individual.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Oops, somebody forgot to turn the italics off.</p>
<p>In any case, there is one exception to that: An individual&#8217;s death generally reduces greatly the chance of a second death occurring to that same individual.</p>
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	<item>
		<title>By: jwpaine</title>
		<link>http://sweasel.com/archives/4051/comment-page-1#comment-41516</link>
		<dc:creator>jwpaine</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 11 Jul 2009 01:00:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://sweasel.com/?p=4051#comment-41516</guid>
		<description>The name for that is the &lt;a href=&quot;http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gambler%27s_fallacy&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;Gambler&#039;s Fallacy&lt;/a&gt;. The will to believe that something occurring in the past somehow alters the chance of it occurring again appears almost congenital among us &lt;i&gt;homo saps&lt;/a&gt;.

Casinos, btw, take advantage of this with those light-poles at roulette tables showing the last ten or so numbers hit.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The name for that is the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gambler%27s_fallacy" rel="nofollow">Gambler&#8217;s Fallacy</a>. The will to believe that something occurring in the past somehow alters the chance of it occurring again appears almost congenital among us <i>homo saps.</p>
<p>Casinos, btw, take advantage of this with those light-poles at roulette tables showing the last ten or so numbers hit.</i></p>
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	<item>
		<title>By: S. Weasel</title>
		<link>http://sweasel.com/archives/4051/comment-page-1#comment-41514</link>
		<dc:creator>S. Weasel</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 11 Jul 2009 00:23:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://sweasel.com/?p=4051#comment-41514</guid>
		<description>That&#039;s one of the most brain-hurty things about probabilities, Dawn. Your chances (as a decent driver) of being in several accidents for several days in a row are quite small. But every day you go out, your chances of being in an accident are exactly the same.

I think you have to be a little mad to &#039;get&#039; math.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>That&#8217;s one of the most brain-hurty things about probabilities, Dawn. Your chances (as a decent driver) of being in several accidents for several days in a row are quite small. But every day you go out, your chances of being in an accident are exactly the same.</p>
<p>I think you have to be a little mad to &#8216;get&#8217; math.</p>
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